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Дата издания
01.07.2025Область исследования
Тип исследования
Аннотация (краткое описание)
One of the global problems of our time is climate change. This problem is relevant not only at the level of individual states, but also on a global scale, having a significant impact on both natural ecosystems and socio-economic development of mankind. In the presented article, a comprehensive study of the impact of global warming on the climate of Almaty region, located in the south-east of the Republic of Kazakhstan, has been conducted. To analyze trends, the non-parametric MannKendall test in the R Studio software environment was used, which allowed us to assess the statistical significance of changes. Additionally, using Climpact software, climatic indices were calculated from daily meteorological data reflecting extreme climatic events. Based on climate scenarios presented in the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), modeling of possible multi-year changes in air temperature and precipitation in the region was performed using the QGIS geoinformation system. The obtained results indicate the presence of stable trends of climate change in Almaty region and emphasize the need to take into account regional climatic changes. Projections based on various socio-economic scenarios show a possible increase in air temperature by the end of the 21st century, which emphasizes the relevance of integrating climate risks into the processes of strategic planning and natural resource management. The results of the study can be used for adaptation measures and decision-making in the fields of sustainable development, agriculture, water resources and environmental protection. , 2025.DOI
10.32014/2025.2518-170X.541Тип публикаций
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